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A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson

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A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
American ballplayer Dallas McPherson was just released by the Florida Marlins. McPherson is the definition of a 4-A player, too good for AAA and too old for teams to give him a real shot in the majors. He turns 29 this July 23rd, and he has tremendous power. He hit 42 home runs in the Pacific Coast League Last Year, hit 40 (20 in AA and 20 in AAA) in 2004, and 18 in 371 major league at-bats. He has been plagued by injuries at inopportune times, but if a Japanese team signed him to a contract, he could easily be the next Alex Cabrera or Randy Bass. He's actually a few months younger than either Cabrera or Bass when they started their Japanese careers.

The Japanese teams seem to have gotten much better in the last few years at picking out the American 4-A players most likely to play well in Japan. Don't be surprised if, even this late in Spring Training, a Japanese team makes an offer to McPherson.
Comments
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest | Posted: Apr 2, 2009 4:08 PM ]

Did he clear waivers? Did he refused to go to the minors? Only then can a Japanese team do something.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest: Xbalanque | Posted: Apr 3, 2009 12:54 PM ]

I don't think that's correct. All the reports I've seen say that Dallas McPherson was "released" by the Marlins, not that the Marlins were seeking to have him clear waivers so they could send him down to the majors. See, for example, Sports Illustrated.

If he has been released, McPherson can sign with anyone anywhere, whether the New York Yankees (who some commentators think might be interested in McPherson with ARod out two months) or a team in Japan.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest | Posted: Apr 4, 2009 6:12 AM ]

I've seen him play for the Angels. While he does have some power, I really do think that Japanese teams do not need his service.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest: Xbalanque | Posted: Apr 4, 2009 1:00 PM ]

Any particular reason? McPherson strikes out a lot, but so do Tuffy and Alex, and McPherson's 2004 and 2008 seasons look an awful lot like Alex's 2000, and Randy Bass's 1979 and 1980.

McPherson is probably lousy with the glove, but he can always DH.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest | Posted: Apr 5, 2009 4:23 PM ]

Dallas has trouble with breaking balls. He can only hit the high fastball. In Japan, they throw more breaking balls than fast balls than in America. So it won't go well for Dallas.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest: Xbalanque | Posted: Apr 6, 2009 11:45 AM ]

That's a good reason. However, I still think he's worth the risk of a one-year contract. Here's why:
US MINORS        AB     H    HR BA   OBP     SLG  OPS
Alex Cabrera* 1,588 453 86 .285 .339 .511 .850
Randy Bass 3,859 1,135 238 .294[.394]**.540[.934]
Tuffy Rhodes*** 3,368 939 54 .279 .372 .402 .774
Dallas McPherson 2,273 673 150 .296 .384 .586 .970

US MAJORS
Tuffy Rhodes 590 134 13 .224 .310 .349 .659
Alex Cabrera 80 21 5 .263 .299 .500 .799
Randy Bass 325 69 9 .212 .284 .326 .610
Dallas McPherson 371 91 18 .245 .298 .458 .756

Japan
Tuffy Rhodes 5,979 1,701 442 .284 .380 .558 .938
Alex Cabrera 3,523 1,082 309 .307 .405 .622 1.027
Randy Bass 2,208 743 202 .337 .418 .660 1.078

Age as of 4/1 of 1st Year in Japan
Tuffy 27 yrs, 7 mos
Alex 29 yrs, 3 mos
Randy Bass 29 yrs, 0 mos
McPherson(as of 4/1/09) 28 yrs, 8 mos
* Alex Cabrera is truly a modern, international player. He is originally from Venezuala, played in Taiwan in 1999, and probably played in Latin American pro leagues in 1998 and 1999 and before 1992.

** My source for minor league statistics is The Baseball Cube which does not have OBP stats for Randy Bass's minor league seasons from 1972 through 1977. The OBP guestimate provided is based on his minor league OBP for his four minor league seasons between 1978 and 1982, when his OBP was consistently more than 100 points above his batting average. I am assuming that his OBP were not quite so ridiculously high earlier in his minor league career, as this is a skill that tends to increase with experience.

*** Tuffy had a power explosion at age 24. After hitting 14 homeruns in 7 minor league seasons, in 1992 at AAA Omaha, he hit 30 HRs and 43 doubles in 490 at-bats. The rest, as they say, is history.

Of these four players, McPherson has arguably the best numbers at both the major league and U.S. minor league level. This does not mean, of course, that he will necessarily going to be as good as the others in Japan, but he doesn't need to be as good to help a Japanese team. Maybe more breaking pitches in Japan would give him a problem, but I still think a Japanese team would not be making a mistake to give him a one year contract and find out.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest: Xbalanque | Posted: Apr 8, 2009 12:58 PM ]

SoftBank Hawks thinking like I do? NPB Tracker thinks so.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: number9 | Posted: Apr 8, 2009 11:29 PM ]

He's got similar minor league numbers to Dan Johnson, who signed with Yokohama this season. We'll how it turns out. [Dan Johnson on The Baseball Cube]
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest: Xbalanque | Posted: Apr 9, 2009 1:50 PM ]

Yeah, I've posted a couple of comments on this site this off-season, saying how much I liked the Dan Johnson and Jamie D'Antona signings. Guys who consistently put up big minor league numbers are much more likely (eventually) to put up big major league or Japanese league numbers than those who don't.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: PLNara | Posted: Apr 10, 2009 10:52 AM | HT Fan ]

I'm advocating that the Hawks sign McPherson, but Johnson is a much more patient hitter. McPherson has better power and can play a harder position, so he's valuable too. SoftBank probably wouldn't have to pay McPherson the $1.1 million Johnson is getting either.
Re: A Japanese Team Should Sign Dallas McPherson
[ Author: Guest: Xbalanque | Posted: Apr 10, 2009 11:57 AM ]

It really depends on what kind of offers, if any, McPherson receives from the other Major League teams. So far, the SoftBank Hawks rumor is the only I've seen on the Internet about where McPherson might end up.

If no Major League team offers McPherson anything more than a minor league contract, I think he'd have to seriously consider a Japanese offer in the $550,000 to $800,000 range.
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